30 de mayo de 2023 a 2 de junio de 2023 Ciencias Naturales, Exactas y Ténicas
Facultad de Matemática y Computación
America/Havana zona horaria

Score-Driven Models and Their Use in Operations Research

No programado
20m
Facultad de Matemática y Computación

Facultad de Matemática y Computación

Ponente

Dr. Vladimir Holy (Prague University of Economics and Business)

Descripción

Score-driven (SD) models, also referred to as generalized autoregressive score (GAS) models and dynamic conditional score (DCS) models, are time series models that can be based on any underlying probability distribution with dynamics driven by the conditional score for any time-varying parameters. In recent years, score-driven models have emerged as a valuable modern methodology for time series modeling, especially in econometrics and quantitative finance. In this contribution, we introduce a novel R package, called gasmodel, that facilitates the estimation, forecasting, and simulation of score-driven models. We also present two applications related to operations research — modeling of dynamic rankings in data envelopment analysis (DEA) and modeling of inter-arrival times in queueing theory.

Autor primario

Dr. Vladimir Holy (Prague University of Economics and Business)

Coautores

Dr. Ondrej Sokol (Prague University of Economics and Business) Dr. Petra Tomanova (Prague University of Economics and Business)

Materiales de la presentación

Todavía no hay materiales.